The period for comments on the second public draft of a proposed National Commission on Forensic Science (NCFS) views document on Statistical Statements in Forensic Testimony opened today and will close on January 25, 2017. Comments can be submitted at regulations.gov, Docket No. DOJ-LA-2016-0025.
The full document can be downloaded from https://www.regulations.gov/document?D=DOJ-LA-2016-0025-0001. It defines "statistical statements" broadly, to encompass quantitative or qualitative statements [that] indicate the accuracy of measurements or observations and the significance of these findings." "These statistical statements," it explains, "may describe measurement accuracy (or conversely, measurement uncertainty), weight of evidence (the extent to which measurements or observations support particular conclusions), or the probability or certainty of the conclusions themselves."
The draft summarizes the views as follows (footnote omitted):
The document will be discussed at the January 2017 NCFS meeting. A final version should be up for a vote at the (final?) Commission meeting, on April 10-11, 2017.