Forensic Science, Statistics & the Law
- Post PCAST: Washington D.C. High Court Won't Tolerate No-doubt Testimony Matching a Bullet to a Single Gun, Aug. 15, 2019
- Shoeprints in Indiana: Confronting a "Skilled Witness" with the PCAST Report, May 19, 2019
- "Our Worst Fears Have Been Realized" -- Forensic "Evidence, Science, and Reason in an Era of 'Post-truth' Politics" (Part 1), Nov. 20, 2017; (Part 2), Dec. 26, 2018
- It's a Match! But What Is That?, Nov. 15, 2017
- Overvaluing P-values, July 27, 2017
- The Source and Soundness of PCAST's 5% Rule, July 23, 2017
- PCAST’s Sampling Errors (Part II: Getting More Technical), Dec. 11, 2016
- On a “Ridiculous” Estimate of an “Error Rate for Fingerprint Comparisons,” Dec. 10, 2016
- PCAST and the Ames Bullet Cartridge Study: Will the Real Error Rates Please Stand Up?, Nov. 1, 2016
- PCAST’s Sampling Errors, Forensic Sci., Stat. & L., Oct. 24, 2016
- PCAST on "Foundational Validity," Evidentiary Reliability, and the Admissibility of "Firearms Analysis", Oct. 23, 2016
- The PCAST Report and Argumentum Ad Hominem, Sept. 24, 2016
- The PCAST Report on Forensic Science: "A Roadmap for Defense Lawyers", Sept. 20, 2016
- The National District Attorneys Association’s Slam: PCAST "Usurps the Constitutional Role of the Courts", Sept. 5, 2016
- Unhappiness Expressed over PCAST Draft Report, Sept. 2, 2016
- PCAST Recommends More Forensic Science R&R (Research & Reform), Sept. 1, 2016
- On court opinions that discuss the report
- Distorting Daubert and Parting Ways with PCAST in Romero-Lobato, July 6, 2019
- Another US District Court Finds Firearms-mark Testimony Admissible in the Post-PCAST World, Mar. 15, 2019
- Washington Court of Appeals Declares PCAST Report To Be "Of Dubious Value," Mar. 12, 2019
- Mississippi Court of Appeals Sees No Problem with the Usual Bullet-mark Testimony, Dec. 24, 2018
- More on Pitts and Lundi: Why Bother with Opposing Experts?, July 17, 2018
- Ignoring PCAST’s Explication of Rule 702(d): The Opinions on Fingerprint Evidence in Pitts and Lundi, July 16, 2018
- Louisiana's Court of Appeals Brushes Aside PCAST Report for Fingerprints and Toolmark Evidence, Nov. 4, 2017
- District Court Rejects Defendant's Reliance on PCAST Report as a Reason to Exclude Fingerprint Evidence, Oct. 11, 2017
- Judge Spotlights PCAST Report, June 30, 2017
- Connecticut Trial Court Deems PCAST Report on Footwear Mark Evidence Inapplicable and Unpersuasive, Feb. 3, 2017
- The False-Positive Fallacy in the First Opinion to Discuss the PCAST Report, Nov. 3, 2016
- The First Opinion To Discuss the PCAST Report, Oct. 20, 2016
Academic Journals and Books
- ANZFSS Council, Letter to the Editor, 50(5) Australian J. Forensic Sci. 451–452 (2018), originally published as ANZFSS Council Response to President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology Report, available at http://anzfss.org/anzfss-council-response-to-presidents-council-of-advisors-on-science-and-technology-report/
- Suzanne Bell, Sunita Sah, Thomas D. Albright, S. James Gates Jr., M. Bonner Denton, and Arturo Casadevall, A Call for More Science in Forensic Science, 115(18) Proceedings Nat'l Academy Sci. 4541–4544 (2018), available at www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1712161115
- John Buckleton, Jo-Anne Bright & Duncan Taylor, Letter, Response to Lander’s Response to the ANZFSS Council Statement on the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology Report, 50(5) Australian J. Forensic Sci. 453–454 (2018) (arguing that STRmix has been validated)
- Gary Edmond & Kristy A. Martire, Antipodean Forensics: A Comment on ANZFSS’s Response to PCAST, 50(2) Australian J. Forensic Sci. 140-151 (2017)
- I.W. Evett, C.E.H. Berger, J.S. Buckleton, C. Champod, G. Jackson, Finding the Way Forward for Forensic Science in the US—A Commentary on the PCAST Report, 278 Forensic Sci. Int'l 16-23 (2017), https://t.co/A7y7Qy6dRn
- David L. Faigman et al., 1 Modern Scientific Evidence: The Law and Science of Expert Testimony x (2016-2017) ("[C]ourts have largely ignored the virtually consensus opinion of mainstream academic scientists that much of the forensic expertise routinely admitted in courts today is unsound. The latest statement of this consensus view came in September, 2016, in a lengthy and carefully reasoned report by The President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST).")
- Jennifer Friedman & Jessica Brand, It Is Now Up to the Courts: “Forensic Science in Criminal Courts: Ensuring Scientific Validity of Feature-Comparison Methods”, 57 Santa Clara L. Rev. 367, 382 (2017)
- Paul C. Giannelli, Forensic Science: Daubert's Failure, 68 Case W. Res. L. Rev. 869 (2018)
- Ted Robert Hunt, Scientific Validity and Error Rates: A Short Response to the PCAST Report, 86 Fordham L. Rev. Online 24-39 (2018) https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/flro/vol86/iss1/14/ ("To clarify the DOJ’s position, this Article is a short response to the Report’s discussion of scientific validity. The focus is on PCAST’s use of the term foundational validity, its views on error rates, and the proposed application of these concepts to forensic feature-comparison methods.")
- Aliza B. Kaplan & Janis C. Puracal, It's Not a Match: Why the Law Can't Let Go of Junk Science, 81 Alb. L. Rev. 895 (2017-2018)
- David H. Kaye, David E. Bernstein & Jennifer L. Mnookin, The New Wigmore on Evidence: Expert Evidence § 15.7.5 (2d ed. Cum, Suppl. 2019)
- David H. Kaye, Firearm-Mark Evidence: Looking Back and Looking Ahead, 68 Case W. Res. L. Rev. 723-45 (2018), https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract_id=3117674
- Eric S. Lander, Response to the ANZFSS Council Statement on the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology Report, 49(4) Australian J. Forensic Sci. 366-368 (2017)
- Geoffrey Stewart Morrison, David H. Kaye, David J. Balding, et al., A Comment on the PCAST Report: Skip the 'Match'/'Non-Match' Stage, 272 Forensic Sci. Int'l e7-e9 (2017), http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2016.10.018. Accepted manuscript available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2860440
- Adam B. Shniderman, Prosecutors Respond to Calls for Forensic Science Reform: More Sharks in Dirty Water, 126 Yale L.J. F. 348 (2017), http://www.yalelawjournal.org/forum/prosecutors-respond-to-calls-for-forensic-science-reform
- Transcript, Symposium on Forensic Science Testimony, Daubert, and Rule 702, 86 Fordham L. Rev. 1463-1550 (2018)
Professional Periodicals
- Judge Herbert B. Dixon Jr., Another Harsh Spotlight on Forensic Sciences, Judges' J. Winter, 2017, at 36 ("The report's conclusion is clear that the accuracy of many forensic feature-comparison methods has been assumed rather than scientifically established on empirical evidence. ... PCAST expects, partly based on the strength of its evaluations of scientific validity in this report, that some forensic feature-comparison methods may be determined inadmissible because they lack adequate evidence of scientific validity.")
- Donna Lee Elm, Continued Challenge for Forensics: The PCAST Report, Crim. Just., Summ. 2017, at 4-8.
- Jennifer Friedman, Another Opportunity for Forensic Reform: A Call to the Courts, Champion, July 2017, at 40
- Jonathan J. Koehler, How Trial Judges Should Think About Forensic Science Evidence, Judicature, Spr. 2018, at 28–38, https://judicialstudies.duke.edu/editions/spring-2018/ (critiques organized criticisms of the report)
- Norman L. Reimer, Two New Tools to Include in a Cutting-Edge Defense Toolkit, NACDL's Champion, Nov. 2016, at 9-10 ("[T]he PCAST report was not greeted with great glee by the Department of Justice or the Federal Bureau of Investigation. ... So this report will by no means change practices overnight. But that is all the more reason why the defense bar should up its game when confronting questionable forensic evidence. The PCAST report will be a big help in that effort.").
- Jack D. Roady, The PCAST Report: A Review and Moving Forward—A Prosecutor's Perspective, Crim. Just., Summ. 2017, at 8-14, 39.
- J. H. Pate Skene, Up to the Courts: Managing Forensic Testimony with Limited Scientific Validity, Judicature, Spr. 2018, at 39-50, https://judicialstudies.duke.edu/editions/spring-2018/ (“With the exception of DNA analysis of single-source samples, none of the forensic methods reviewed by PCAST has yet met rigorous criteria for both foundational validity (Rule 702(c)) and validity as applied (Rule 702(d)).”)
- Eric Alexander Vos, Using the PCAST Report to Exclude, Limit, or Minimize Experts, Crim. Just., Summ. 2017, at 15-19.
Federal Cases
- United States v. Johnson, (S5) 16 Cr. 281 (PGG), 2019 WL 1130258 (S.D.N.Y. Mar. 11, 2019), noted, Another US District Court Finds Firearms-mark Testimony Admissible in the Post-PCAST World, Mar. 15, 2019, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2019/03/another-us-district-court-finds.html
- United States v. Cantoni, No. 18-cr-562 (ENV), 2019 WL 1259630 (E.D.N.Y. Mar. 19, 2019), noted, Admitting Palm Print Evidence in United States v. Cantoni, Mar. 21, 2019, https://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2019/03/admitting-palm-print-evidence-in-united.html
- United States v. Lundi, 17-CR-388 (DLI), 2018 WL 3369665 (E.D.N.Y. July 10, 2018), noted, Ignoring PCAST’s Explication of Rule 702(d): The Opinions on Fingerprint Evidence in Pitts and Lundi, July 16, 2018, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2018/07/ignoring-pcasts-explication-of-rule.html
- United States v. Pitts, 16-CR-550 (DLI), 2018 WL 1116550 (E.D.N.Y. Feb. 26, 2018), noted, Ignoring PCAST’s Explication of Rule 702(d): The Opinions on Fingerprint Evidence in Pitts and Lundi, July 16, 2018, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2018/07/ignoring-pcasts-explication-of-rule.html
- United States v. Bonds, No. 15 CR 573-2 (N.D. Ill. Oct. 10, 2017), noted, District Court Rejects Defendant's Reliance on PCAST Report to Exclude Fingerprint Evidence, Oct. 20, 2016, Oct. 11, 2017, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2017/10/district-court-rejects-defendants.html
- United States v. Chester, No. 13 CR 00774 (N.D. Ill. Oct. 7, 2016), noted, The First Opinion To Discuss the PCAST Report, Forensic Sci., Stat. & L., Oct. 20, 2016, Feb. 3, 2017, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2017/02/connecticut-trial-court-deems-pcast.html
- United States v. Romero-Lobato, 379 F.Supp.3d 1111 (D. Nev. 2019), noted, Distorting Daubert and Parting Ways with PCAST in Romero-Lobato, Forensic Sci., Stat. & L., July 6, 2019, https://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2019/07/distorting-daubert-and-parting-ways.html
State and Washington DC Cases
- Trials
- State v. Patel, No. LLICR130143598S (Conn. Super. Ct., Dec. 28, 2016), noted, Connecticut Trial Court Deems PCAST Report on Footwear Mark Evidence Inapplicable and Unpersuasive, Forensic Sci., Stat. & L., Feb. 3, 2017, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2017/02/connecticut-trial-court-deems-pcast.html
- Appeals
- People v. Perez, No. B284668, 2019 WL 2537699 (Cal. Ct. App. June 20, 2019) (unpublished) (even if PCAST report and other materials showed that scientific community no longer accepted firearms toolmark comparisons as definitive of a unique source, admission of traditional testimony without a hearing was harmless error and limitation on cross-examination of state's expert about PCAST and NRC reports was consistent with rule against hearsay evidence)
- Motorola, Inc. v. Murray, 147 A.3d 751 (D.C. 2016) (concurring opinion citing PCAST report as valuable in determining admissibility under Daubert's "evidentiary reliability" standard for scientific evidence), noted, Judge Spotlights PCAST Report, Forensic Sci., Stat. & L., June 30, 2017, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2017/06/judge-spotlights-pcast-report.html
- Williams v. United States, 210 A.3d 734 (D.C. 2019) (relying in part on PCAST's conclusion that "firearms examiners do not currently have a basis to give opinion testimony that matches a specific bullet to a specific gun and that such testimony should not be admitted without a verifiable error rate" to conclude that it was plainly error to admit testimony that three bullets matched a specific gun without “any doubt” (but that the error did not justify reversing the conviction), noted, Forensic Sci., Stat. & L., Aug. 15, 2019,
- State v. Allen, No. 2017-0306, 2017 WL 4974768 (La. Ct. App., 1 Cir., Nov. 1, 2017), noted, Louisiana's Court of Appeals Brushes Aside PCAST Report for Fingerprints and Toolmark Evidence, For. Sci., Stat. & L., Nov. 4, 2017, http://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2017/11/louisianas-court-of-appeals-brushes.html
- Willie v. State, 274 So.3d 934 (Miss. Ct. App. 2018) (permissible to testify “that based on a ‘reasonable degree of scientific certainty,’ the shell casing found at the murder scene was fired from the 9-millimeter found in Lewis's SUV’ when the expert conceded on CX that “we do not have a reporting procedure for a margin of error”)
- State v. DeJesus, 436 P.3d 834 (Wash. Ct. App. 2019) (misreads the PCAST report as applying only to "the question of reliability of the individual [firearms identification] test and tester at issue"), noted, Washington Court of Appeals Declares PCAST Report To Be "Of Dubious Value," Forensic Sci., Stat. & L., Mar. 12, 2019, https://for-sci-law.blogspot.com/2019/03/washington-court-of-appeals-declares.html
Other
- ANZFSS Council Response to President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology Report, available at http://anzfss.org/anzfss-council-response-to-presidents-council-of-advisors-on-science-and-technology-report/
- Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, ATF Response to the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology Report, https://www.theiai.org/president/20160921_ATF_PCAST_Response.pdf
- Jules Epstein, POTUS, PCAST, and Forensics, National Judicial College Judicial Edge, Dec. 16th, 2016, http://www.judges.org/potus-pcast-forensics/
- Amie Ely, Presidential Council Issues Report Arguing that Ballistics Testimony Should Not Be Admitted As Evidence, 1 NAGTRI J. No. 5, Nov. 2016, http://www.naag.org/publications/nagtri-journal/volume-1-number-5/presidential-council-issues-report-arguing-that-ballistics-testimony-should-not-be-admitted-as-evidence.php
- FBI, Comments on: President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology Report to the President on Forensic Science in Federal Criminal Courts: Ensuring Scientific Validity of Forensic Comparison Methods, Sept. 20, 2016, https://www.fbi.gov/file-repository/fbi-pcast-response.pdf/
- Barry A.J. Fisher, On the Admissibility of Expert Evidence: a Crime Lab Director’s Point of View, National Judicial College Judicial Edge, Dec. 16th, 2016, http://www.judges.org/admissibility-expert-evidence-crime-lab-directors-point-view/
- Int'l Ass'n for Identification, IAI Response to the Report to the President 'Forensic Science in Criminal Courts Ensuring Scientific Validity of Feature-Comparison Methods' Issued by the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) in September 2016, undated, https://theiai.org/docs/5.IAI_FW-TT_SubCommitteeResponse_to_PCAST.pdff
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Int'l Ass'n for Identification, Comments on the PCAST Report from the IAI FW /TT
Science and Practice Subcommittee, undated, https://www.theiai.org/president/IAI_FW-TT_SubCommitteeResponse_to_PCAST.pdf - Brady Johnson, Cataclysm or Bump in the Road? What the PCAST Report Means for the Future of Forensic Evidence, National Judicial College Judicial Edge, Dec. 16th, 2016, http://www.judges.org/pcast_follow_up/
- Midwestern Ass'n of Forensic Scientists Response to PCAST Report, Dec. 12, 2016, http://www.mafs.net/documents/PCAST%20-%20MAFS%20Response.pdf
- Organization of Scientific Area Committees (OSAC) Firearms and Toolmarks Subcommittee, Response to the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) Call for Additional References Regarding Its Report “Forensic Science in Criminal Courts: Ensuring Scientific Validity of Feature-Comparison Methods,” Dec. 14, 2016, https://www.theiai.org/president/20161214_FATM_Response_to_PCAST.pdf
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